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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
Manifold Markets

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

One-OffSpaceWetenschap6mnd
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
March 2026 0.4%
Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

11

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 dagen geleden

Verouderd
19 jan 26, 3:0930 dec 26, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

June 20261%

Regels

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
  • The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
  • Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
  • Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
  • The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
  • The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
  • Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
  • Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
  • The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.