Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOpenAI 94.6%+59.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+74.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
5 sep 26, 21:51 UTC31 dec 34, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsThird-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves to the company whose AI model is credited with doing the majority of the work in the first solution to any of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems.
- Resolves on Clay Institute announcement or earlier on broad expert consensus that the proof is correct.
- Resolves N/A if no AI-led solution by end of 2034.
- If a claimed solution is under serious review at close, the market will be extended until it's confirmed or rejected.
Open markten
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 132,8K
- 24u volume
- € 100,3K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 322,4K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem??
- Manifold Markets prijst OpenAI op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem? afgewikkeld?
- Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2034 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to the company whose AI model is credited with doing the majority of the work in the first solution to any of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems.