Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 18:05 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
By end of 2037 84.1%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd5 feb 26, 09:06 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsAmericas data center capacity at the end of 2026
KalshiWill at least 1% of datacenter capacity be in space by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?
Manifold MarketsTexas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves YES for an option if, by that date, space-based data centers meet ALL of:
- Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude)
- Aggregate capacity: ≥10GW total power draw capacity across all qualifying space-based data center infrastructure, cumulative across all operators and facilities
- AI compute: Each contributing facility must be used for machine learning workloads (training or inference)
- Power accounting: Counts power draw by compute equipment (GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, cooling).