When will the US enact a universal basic income of at least $500/month per adult?
InflatieOne-OffHandelsbeleidPolitiekVerkiezingManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNot by the end of 2050 75.1%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
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3
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Verouderd30 sep 26, 00:07 UTC1 jan 51, 04:59 UTC
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Resolves to the calendar-year bucket (Eastern Time) in which the US enacts a federal universal basic income, as defined below.
- The buckets roughly follow presidential terms.
- If none is enacted by December 31, 2050, it resolves to "the named outcome".
- I'll resolve early as soon as a qualifying law is enacted.
- What counts.
- A federal statute that becomes law (signed by the President, passed over a veto, or enacted without signature) and creates or amends a cash payment program so that it meets all five conditions:
