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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd5 nov 25, 21:57 UTC5 nov 26, 21:56 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegels
Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.
- Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.
- Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.
- Temporary Leave doesn't count.
- Only permanent exit from the CEO position counts.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI??
- Manifold Markets prijst Other op 44% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? afgewikkeld?
- When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? wordt naar verwachting op 5 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.