Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2027 or later 96.3%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
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34
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+1.8 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd20 mrt 24, 02:22 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
KalshiRegels
As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.
- As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.
- Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given.
- A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary.
- The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2027 or later op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? afgewikkeld?
- When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.