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Later than 2027 48.2%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jan 24, 01:23 UTC1 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.3%
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KalshiRegels
OpenAI used to do research on robotics, but stopped around 2020, as they found it was easier to get fast scaling with language models.
- This market resolves when OpenAI publicly releases a model which is in some way specialized for robotics.
- If no such model has been released by the end of 2027, it will resolve "the named outcome".
- To count, a model must be released to at least a thousand people outside of OpenAI (the general public, enterprise customers, etc).
- Internal development does not count.
- Alpha tests do not count.
Open markten
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- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
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- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will OpenAI release a robotics model??
- Manifold Markets prijst Later than 2027 op 48% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will OpenAI release a robotics model? afgewikkeld?
- When will OpenAI release a robotics model? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will OpenAI release a robotics model? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: OpenAI used to do research on robotics, but stopped around 2020, as they found it was easier to get fast scaling with language models.