Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 15:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2028 87.7%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jun 26, 15:48 UTC1 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
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Beat = get statistically significant better scores (p = 0.05) than the best human on a tournament on Metaculus
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