Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDoesn't pass in Senate 30%+15.7ptKoploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+15.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
3 sep 26, 16:5331 dec 27, 23:59
Trends
Regels
Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/
- Clarifications:
- I mean specifically a bill introduced by these two people, with very similar aims as that released in the summary: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Ban-Artificial-Superintelligence-Act-Release-Summary.pdf
- If there is a clear answer before Dec 31 2027, I will resolve then
- If this exact bill fails, but a very similar one draws inspiration, I will reoslve based on the original bill
- For this market, I care only about the bill's continuity as defined by its tracking number.
