Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingHas a microphone 99%Koploper van 23 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd22 mei 25, 15:54 UTC31 dec 26, 16:49 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
KalshiWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsWhat is true of OpenAI's "spud" model?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.
- What will be true of the first device they release? This refers to whatever the first hardware product OpenAI + io release.
- If they release multiple devices simultaneously, each answer resolves YES if the answer is true of any of the devices.
- Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Designed to be worn on head' answer:
- Earbuds will be considered as 'worn on head'.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market close date will be extended until the device is released or confirmed as cancelled.
Open markten
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 63,6K
- 24u volume
- € 63,6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27,4K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device??
- Manifold Markets prijst Has a microphone op 99% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? afgewikkeld?
- What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.