Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??

Manifold Markets prijst Discovery of novel concept in mathematics op 73% per 21 september 2026.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

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Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

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multiple choice

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Play-money forecasting platform

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7d wijziging

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29 jan 25, 16:28 UTC1 jan 30, 22:59 UTC

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Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 ptn (24u)One-OffAI3j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

Koploper van 5 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

7d wijziging

-12.7 pts

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden

Verouderd

29 jan 25, 16:28 UTC1 jan 30, 22:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gerelateerde Markten

Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Polymarket

Next Claude Opus released by which date?

Polymarket

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Kalshi

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Polymarket

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Manifold Markets

Regels

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: Manifold Markets prijst Discovery of novel concept in mathematics op 73% per 21 september 2026.
Wanneer wordt What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? afgewikkeld?: What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

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