Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling40 - 50% 39.9%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd17 feb 25, 08:58 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRegels
This market is the same as this one but uses different buckets and is about a different benchmark.
- The best performance by an AI system on EnigmaEval as of December 31st 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- This resolution will use https://scale.com/leaderboard/enigma_eval as its source.
- If the number reported is exactly on the boundary (eg. 10%) then the higher choice will be used (ie. 10-20%).
- Which AI systems count?