Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBougainville 29.1%Koploper van 15 uitkomsten
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32
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd2 apr 24, 17:37 UTC1 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join ASEAN before 2030?
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PolymarketWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 643,2K
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-3.5pt12.2%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt81%
- Yes-5.0pt19%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 261K
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.2pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What countries will join the UN before 2030?
- Manifold Markets prijst Bougainville op 29% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What countries will join the UN before 2030 afgewikkeld?
- What countries will join the UN before 2030 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What countries will join the UN before 2030 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts