Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Tim Scott 13.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd16 mrt 26, 05:17 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Connor Storrie come out as gay or bisexual by December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf I come out as nonbinary, will it go well?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if that person publicly comes out as LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or other non-heterosexual/non-cisgender identity) at any point during 2026.
- Resolution requires a public statement or credible media reporting of such a disclosure by the individual themselves or their official representatives.
- Rumors, speculation, or third-party allegations do not constitute resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO for any answer where no such public disclosure occurs by December 31, 2026.
- While just 15 percent of queer people registered to vote self-identify as Republican, there is a documented history of closeted conservative politicians.
