Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 68%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd8 aug 26, 16:59 UTC8 feb 27, 16:58 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) on X
- [link preview]
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- Totaal volume
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 68% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam afgewikkeld?
- "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam wordt naar verwachting op 8 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) on X