Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93.1%
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd26 mrt 23, 11:07 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTakeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsLeap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?
Manifold MarketsDoes Nectome's preservation protocol work?
Manifold MarketsAverage annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC
FutuurRegels
Stanley Druckenmiller (famous trader) said this in an interview (14:20) (recorded mid-year 2022)
- We've had a hurricane behind us for 30 or 40 years and now it's reversing, and I won't be surprised, in fact it's my central thesis that in 10 years the dow [jones industrial average] won't be much higher than it is today.
- So he seems pretty confident.
- Mid-year 2022 DJI price: 3100.
- 'A little higher': +20% = 3720
- YES = DJI < 3720 on July 1st 2032
