US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
One-OffSamenleving en cultuur4j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 50.8%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd27 aug 25, 03:32 UTC1 mrt 31, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US Total Fertility Rate in 2030?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?
PolymarketTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)
KalshiRegels
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.