Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 71.8%
Voorspellers
22
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd26 aug 25, 23:42 UTC1 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Having a child counts, as does announcing a miscarriage.
- Leaks and rumors don't count, but it's still an announcement even if it's not a surprise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Announcing a pregnancy via surrogacy does NOT count for resolution.