US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Amerikaanse politiekAIOne-OffChina2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden
18 mei 26, 17:48 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketHot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?
FutuurBy 2027, will the presidents of the US and China participate in a conversation in which an LLM also participates?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States government and the government of the People's Republic of China issue a joint, public statement or sign a formal agreement establishing a bilateral arrangement, framework, or pact specifically concerning artificial intelligence safety, governance, or cooperation before January 1, 2027.
- The arrangement must be explicitly identified as being between the US and China.
- Unilateral policies, separate statements made at the same event, or agreements made only through multilateral organizations (such as the UN or G20) without a distinct bilateral component do not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the White House (whitehouse.gov) or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (fmprc.gov.cn).
