SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
AIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (94.7%)
Afgewikkeld: 10 okt 2026, 21:36
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Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 11 okt 2026, 11:31 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes94.7%
No5.299999999999997%
Gewonnen
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
