Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 16:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.3%
Voorspellers
46
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd11 jan 26, 02:27 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
KalshiUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reza Pahlavi physically enters Iran at any point between now and 11:59PM Iran Standard Time December 31, 2026.
- Resolution requires credible reporting from major news outlets confirming his entry into Iranian territory.
- The market resolves NO if he does not enter Iran by the end of 2026.
- Reza Pahlavi, 65, has lived in exile in the United States for almost five decades, having left Iran in 1978 before the Islamic Revolution.
- Beginning on 28 December 2025, mass demonstrations erupted across Iran amid a deepening economic crisis and a general dissatisfaction with the Islamic Republic government, evolving into the largest uprising since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, and potentially the largest since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.