Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 31 okt 2026, 14:41 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 57.8%
Voorspellers
40
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd12 sep 23, 14:17 UTC1 mei 39, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many people will be permanently residing in the "libertarian city" Prospera in Honduras by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will win a UFC fight against Islam Makhachev?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNasry Asfura elected president of Honduras?
Manifold MarketsU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?
PolymarketUS strike on Mexico by which date?
PolymarketRegels
https://jusmundi.com/en/document/other/en-honduras-prospera-inc-v-republic-of-honduras-press-release-of-honduras-prospera-inc-on-filing-of-request-for-arbitration-tuesday-20th-december-2022
- Resolves YES if either of these happens:
- Prospera wins the suit above and is awarded a non-trivial amount ($400mm or above)
- Honduras backs off and allows them to continue developing their city
- EDIT: Clarification after question in the comments - Prospera has to actually get the money.
- If they win the case, but Honduras refuses to pay, this is not a Prospera win and will be resolved as NO.