Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.7%
Voorspellers
57
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd10 dec 24, 13:30 UTC25 jan 29, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of terrorism?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
Kalshi[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
If President Trump pardon Luigi Mangione, UnitedHealth CEO killer, during his next presidential term will resolve YES, otherwise NO.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? afgewikkeld?
- President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? wordt naar verwachting op 25 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If President Trump pardon Luigi Mangione, UnitedHealth CEO killer, during his next presidential term will resolve YES, otherwise NO.