Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingI get demoted from master once 100%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd29 dec 25, 08:35 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Regels
Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.
- Will not bet besides setting initial odds
- Resolution Criteria
- Each answer resolves YES or NO based on whether the specified event occurs at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Net worth includes both the creator's bots and their main account combined.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 125,4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 156,3K
- 24u volume
- € 26,1K
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Predict my 2026 manifold journey?
- Manifold Markets prijst I get demoted from master once op 100% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Predict my 2026 manifold journey afgewikkeld?
- Predict my 2026 manifold journey wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Predict my 2026 manifold journey afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.