Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 60.8%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
10 sep 26, 11:17 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031
Manifold MarketsAnthropic flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030
- If OpenAI is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- Inspired by @/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030 credit @Bayesian
Open markten
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 70,3K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,4K
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,9K
- 24u volume
- € 21,9K
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor OpenAI flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 61% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt OpenAI flips Apple before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- OpenAI flips Apple before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt OpenAI flips Apple before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030