Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 53.3%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd19 jul 26, 08:32 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Regels
Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030
- [tweet]If Anthropic is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- The market resolves based on events occurring before the start of 2030 (i.e., before January 1, 2030), not before the end of 2030.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 70,3K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,4K
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,9K
- 24u volume
- € 21,9K
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Anthropic flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 53% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030