Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?
RegelgevingOne-OffAITechCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.7%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd27 mrt 26, 15:48 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?
PolymarketPrivate Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketOpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI files for bankruptcy or enters formal insolvency proceedings before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official court filings, SEC documents, or verified announcements from OpenAI's leadership.
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI remains solvent and operational through year-end 2026.
- OpenAI is projected to make a $14 billion loss in 2026, primarily driven by infrastructure expansion, model training, research hiring, and compute costs.
- While OpenAI reportedly generates up to $13 billion in revenue annually from ChatGPT and LLM access fees, the firm spends up to $1.4 billion on computing.
