Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingChristopher Luxon 55%+7.5ptKoploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+40.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
22 okt 26, 07:20 UTC8 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election? · Christopher Luxon 55%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? · Christopher Luxon 57%