Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingChris Hipkins 47.7%Koploper van 18 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd14 okt 23, 18:59 UTC2 jan 50, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegels
Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.
- I'm not sure how the "Other" category works.
- If you think that none of the listed people will resolve positively, your best bet is probably to bet against them rather than bet in favour of "Other".