Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
2.5 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingMiddle East3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGadi Eizenkot 44%+2.5ptKoploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
15 jul 26, 18:59 UTC30 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Gemini — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 60%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eizenkot 61%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 58%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 59%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election? · Gadi Eisenkot 53%
- Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eisenkot 92%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Manifold Markets prijst Gadi Eizenkot op 44% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? afgewikkeld?
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria
- Waar wordt Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Gemini, Kalshi, Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold Markets, PredictIt.