Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 17 jul 2026, 17:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 dagen geleden
Verouderd15 jul 26, 18:5930 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Platforms vergelijken· Gadi Eizenkot
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen97% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 52% | — | € 454,4K | € 2 mln. | 17 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Kalshi83% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Gemiddeld | 52% | — | € 376,1 | € 35,5K | 17 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Futuur68% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 53% | — | € 0 | € 3,1K | 17 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Limitless90% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 52% | — | € 0 | € 0 | 17 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets90% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 46% | — | — | — | 35 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 51% | — | — | — | 8 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 48% | — | — | — | 8 dagen geleden | |
 PredictIt69% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 42% | — | — | — | 17 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5mnd
+3.8%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 26,1 mln.
24u volume€ 454,4K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3j
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling49 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1j
52%
50%
50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 3,3K
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1j
+4.0%52%
+2.0%36%
+8.0%10%
+15 extra uitkomsten
64 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 62,2K
24u volume€ 376,1
KALSHIOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3mnd
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling100 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3j
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITOok beschikbaar op Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3mnd
53%
37%
9%
44 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 879,4
24u volume€ 0
FUTUURRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistPro7 uur geleden
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistPro7 uur geleden$11.4k99.4%POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE3622 uur geleden
POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE3622 uur geleden$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfence3 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfence3 dgn geleden$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE366 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE366 dgn geleden$1.1k99.6%POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypt8 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypt8 dgn geleden$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countryside8 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countryside8 dgn geleden$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a111 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a111 dgn geleden$1.0k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenter13 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenter13 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$45115 jul3d aan data17 jul
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.