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Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd4 dec 25, 03:24 UTC31 dec 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
From the MIT AI Risk Initiative: "Loss of life - Accidental or deliberate loss of life, including suicide, extinction or cessation, due to the use or misuse of a technology system."
- This market is about whether a deployed AI system will be blamed for a large loss of life.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by 31 December 2035, there is a publicly available:
- official report from a government, regulator, court, accident/incident body, or major international organisation (WHO, UN, ICAO, etc.), or
- article from a major reputable news organisation (e.g. Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT, WSJ, The Guardian) that credibly reports such a finding,
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 87,4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 228,5K
- 24u volume
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 239,3K
- 24u volume
- € 53,3K
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor [MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 79% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt [MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035? afgewikkeld?
- [MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt [MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: From the MIT AI Risk Initiative: "Loss of life - Accidental or deliberate loss of life, including suicide, extinction or cessation, due to the use or misuse of a technology system."