Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor [Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050??

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[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

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14 nov 23, 14:28 UTC3 jan 50, 04:00 UTC

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Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/18545/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2050, reporting from credible sources indicates that a United States aircraft carrier has been sunk, destroyed, or damaged such that it must be decommissioned due to enemy military action.
This question pertains to the carrier vehicle (CVs) class, NOT helicopter carriers (such as LHD's).
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.