[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
CustomWeerWetenschap2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 94.6%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd15 okt 23, 17:13 UTC2 jan 29, 18:00 UTC
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Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, before 2029, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reports that the day 10 forecast for 500 hPa height has reached an anomaly correlation coefficient of 60% or greater for either the Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere, using the 12-month running mean.
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