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Verouderd16 jan 25, 20:07 UTC31 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsA plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Manifold MarketsDuring the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if there is a verified failure (valued >$2M) of a semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to a Tier-1 AI country (US, EU, Japan, South Korea), whether it be a delay, the chips being outright stolen or so on.
- Resolution based on shipping company reports, customs data, or credible news sources.
