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[Metaculus] Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)
By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)
In 2029, will any AI be able to construct "reasonably" bug-free code of >= 10k LOC from a natural language specification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #4)
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Regels
The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things
Gratis JSON voor deze markt, geen API-sleutel nodig:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-workAI-agents: roep pm_data_event aan op de MCP-server van CoinRithm:
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