In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
EntertainmentAIOne-Off1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84.4%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd10 jul 23, 18:56 UTC2 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
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Based on this question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener)However, Scott's question description says: "The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist."
- This market is about whether the AI will be publicly available.
- I intend to interpret "publicly available" quite strictly.
- It has to be possible for a normal person to obtain.
- This is codified as follows: