If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
PolitiekOne-OffEuropaVerkiezing1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99.8%
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49
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jun 24, 16:21 UTC1 jan 28, 23:59 UTC
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LimitlessRegels
N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.
- Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.
