Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 98.9%
Voorspellers
65
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd15 feb 24, 09:06 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
KalshiMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves No if any of the following actions occur:
- Keir Starmer fails to form a parliamentary majority in the 2024 election as seen on Wikipedia (2019 equivalent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election)
- Keir Starmer resigns or is deposed by a vote of no confidence before the next General Election is scheduled to be held (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election).
- Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a general election is held before 2024 and Keir Starmer maintains his parliamentary majority, the question will resolve to a yes.
- If he loses his parliamentary majority in an early election, the question will resolve to a no.