If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble?
One-OffRegelgeving3j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 89.8%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd11 jan 25, 01:12 UTC2 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
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I have a trading dashboard for Manifold power users.
- I've been thinking about expanding it to include real-money markets, such as Manifold sweepcash, Polymarket, Kalshi, etc. This would allow prediction market users to see everything from a central location, making arbitrage and news trading easier, and giving them useful tools like built in Kelly bets, staggered purchases, etc. But I'm worried that I'd be opening myself up to legal issues.
- Manifold's userbase is pretty chill, so I'm not concerned about making it support sweepcash, but Polymarket and Kalshi are much less friendly places.
- There could be a bug in my dashboard that causes someone's account to place a bet they didn't intend.
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- No-1.6pt92%
- Yes+1.6pt8%
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- € 18,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 260,8K
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- Before Oct 1, 2027+11.0pt22.9%
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- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt84%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 202895%
- Before Sep 1, 2027-1.0pt57%
- Before April 1, 2027+4.0pt50%
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- Totaal volume
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- Above 58-0.5pt10%
- Above 60+0.5pt10%
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- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I have a trading dashboard for Manifold power users.