If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?

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Manifold Markets prijst Legislation/treaties op 37.3% per 31 oktober 2026.

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If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-1.0pt54%
• Anthropic+2.1pt46%
• ByteDance0%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 6,4 mln.

24u volume

€ 252,8K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-1.0pt54.1%
• Anthropic+3.0pt37.8%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T30.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.3pt20.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.6pt17.8%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-1.6pt51.5%
• Claude+1.7pt38%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

KALSHI

Google market share this week

• Above 19.1%+1.0pt1.5%
• Above 17.3%-2.0pt1%
• Above 20.2%2.5%

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini99.5%
• Claude0.5%
• Grok0.5%

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