Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: 8 or fewer (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 30 sep 2026, 15:49
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 30 sep 2026, 23:41 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
8 or fewer99%
90.2%
100.1%
110.1%
120.1%
130.1%
140.4%
15 or more0.4%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
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KalshiRegels
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.