How many successful SpaceX launches in July 2026 UTC

TechOne-OffSpace9d

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

8 or fewer 0.8%-0.1%

Koploper van 7 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 30 minuten geleden

24 jun 26, 10:5931 jul 26, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

8 or fewer1%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=

for July 2026, UTC time.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.

Volumetrend

$1.1k

8 jul15d aan data22 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

€ 24,7K

August 31: 96%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of August?

€ 18,9K

Anthropic: 94%

POLYMARKET

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

€ 17,5K

June 30, 2027: 54%

POLYMARKET

What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?

€ 7,2K

Data Center: 81%

KALSHI

SpaceX Starship 13th launch?

€ 6,2K

Before July 24th: 72%

KALSHI

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

€ 6,2K

By Dec 31, 2025: 74%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$66,271.58+1.27%

EthereumETH$1,930.34+0.34%

SolanaSOL$78.08-0.13%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+0.99%

BNBBNB$571.78-0.43%

XRPXRP$1.14+1.66%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

OpenAI says AI models escaped containment to hack Hugging FaceCointelegraph

OpenAI Models Escaped Locked Test Environment, Hacked Hugging Face to Cheat on BenchmarkDecrypt

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Galaxy launches Bitcoin quantum computing initiative, commits up to $5 million in developer grantsThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Bitget taps Siebly to simplify crypto trading API developmentCrypto News

Regels

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=

for July 2026, UTC time.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.