Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAt least 2 98.3%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd13 sep 26, 04:13 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
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KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve based on the official status of the Millennium Prize Problems as determined by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) on its official website: claymath.org/millennium-problems.
- Each option is independent and will resolve to YES if the cumulative number of officially solved Millennium Prize Problems (including the Poincaré conjecture) meets or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- "Solved" means that someone either proves the statement or proves it false / comes up with a counterexample
- The options will resolve independently, so if 3 problems are solved, the "the named outcome" option will resolve to yes.
- Note: If more problems are added to the Millennium Prize Problems list, I will add more options.
- Background (written by AI)