Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2027-02-16 94.5%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+44.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 39 minuten geleden
28 okt 26, 15:52 UTC16 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
The '+' means any version at or above 6.2 counts: if OpenAI skips 6.2 and releases GPT 6.3 or GPT 7, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.