Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Before 2027-01-01 96.3%+8.3ptKoploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+8.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
31 aug 26, 14:57 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date
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Manifold MarketsRegels
The '+' means any version at or above 5.4 counts: if Z.ai skips 5.4 and releases GLM 5.5 or GLM 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GLM 5.4, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...? · October 31 30%
