Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Before 2026-11-01 99.5%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+4.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd31 aug 26, 14:57 UTC1 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
99.5%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 (Google) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will Google release Gemini 4?
KalshiWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
Manifold MarketsWill Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
The '+' means any version at or above 3.8 counts: if Google skips 3.8 and releases Gemini 3.9 Flash or Gemini 4 Flash, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Only a Flash model counts — Pro and Flash-Lite releases do not resolve this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Gemini 3.8 Flash, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date?
- Manifold Markets prijst Before 2026-11-01 op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date afgewikkeld?
- Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date wordt naar verwachting op 1 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The '+' means any version at or above 3.8 counts: if Google skips 3.8 and releases Gemini 3.9 Flash or Gemini 4 Flash, that still counts for the purpose of this market.