Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNo, nothing that creator considers wild happened 95%+45.0ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+45.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
14 sep 26, 17:48 UTC14 okt 26, 17:45 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin) on X
- This tweet suggest something wild just happened at Open AI.
- Fact or crap? What happened?
- Feel free to add other answer choices.
- I will not bet on this market as soon as I can figure out how to click the button that bans me from betting.
- Update 2026-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the RSI (Recursive Self-Improvement) option:
Open markten
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 63,6K
- 24u volume
- € 63,6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27,4K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI??
- Manifold Markets prijst No, nothing that creator considers wild happened op 95% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? afgewikkeld?
- Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? wordt naar verwachting op 14 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin) on X