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Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd2 jan 26, 07:49 UTC15 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketDid Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRegels
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 63,6K
- 24u volume
- € 63,6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27,4K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 81% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 15 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026