Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment?
Health & Medicine3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAella does not get new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment 64.1%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd13 okt 23, 03:05 UTC2 jan 30, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?
Manifold MarketsLantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Manifold MarketsBumetanide considered effective in the treatment of genetic Alzheimer's by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
FutuurHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This is a joint market for the outcome of these two markets: @/jcb/if-lantern-bioworks-successfully-re
- @/Aella/will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a
- It resolves according to how the two linked markets resolve.
Open markten
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 18,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 916K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 863,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1K
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment??
- Manifold Markets prijst Aella does not get new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment op 64% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment? afgewikkeld?
- Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a joint market for the outcome of these two markets: @/jcb/if-lantern-bioworks-successfully-re