Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 88.7%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
14 aug 25, 17:41 UTC12 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWhich minor party will enter the Riksdag next?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202
- In Sweden, the Christian Democrats (Kristdemokraterna, KD) received 5.3% of the votes in the 2022 election, which gave them 19 seats in the Riksdag.
- But now (in June 2025) they are polling below 4% so they might lose all their seats in the next election in 2026.
- Will they recover?
- This resolves YES if the Christian Democrats get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
- This resolves NO if the Christian Democrats do not get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 606,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 721K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 411,2K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? afgewikkeld?
- Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? wordt naar verwachting op 12 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202